First chance for snow of the season?

Image: Hudson Valley Weather

‘When combined with the very strong El Nino, we expect some wild surprises this season … This storm may be the first such surprise.’

While we may have been teased with temperatures in the upper 60s and 70s these last few days, this week the leaves and temperatures are falling fast, with the possibility of the season’s first snowflakes on the way.

Current forecast models show the potential for a few inches wet snow on Friday evening, with up to 12-inches forecasted in some higher elevations around the Hudson Valley and Catskills, according to one forecast model, though those recent warm temperatures may help keep accumulations at bay.

At the start of the week, Hudson Valley Weather forecasters say, so far, its only a 20-percent chance the region will get “a significant snowfall” of more than four inches of snow. There is a 40-percent chance of rain mixed with wet snow accumulating less than four inches in the mid-Hudson Valley north of I-84, and 40-percent chance for a rain/wet snow mix in the Catskills.

While this week’s potential storm is still up in the air, a very strong El Nino is expected to bring wetter-than-average conditions to the Northeast, according to the National Weather Service, with warmer-than-average temperatures favored for our region.

“Over the past 2 weeks, the weather world has watched as the Polar Vortex has undergone a SSW (Sudden Stratospheric Warming) event. This resulted in the Polar Vortex substantially weakening earlier than any year on record,” according to Hudson Valley Weather. “When combined with the very strong El Nino, we expect some wild surprises this season. This storm may be the first such surprise.”

As of Monday morning, Hudson Valley Weather predicts:

  • 20% significant snowfall for much of the region (4″+)

  • 40% rain mixed with wet snow in valley near & north of I-84 (<4″)

  • 40% rain in valley… rain / wet snow mix in Catskills

Refresh this page: Story will be updated if any new information becomes available.


 

Support Hudson Valley news + events

3% Cover the Fee

ADVERTISEMENT:


HVNY

Information for everyday living in the Hudson Valley, New York • hvny.info

https://hvny.info
Next
Next

Heat, humidity return mid-week